← All storiesSky & Weather · Nana Sol · 2026-10-02

Bureau tips a warm end to 2026, days and nights both

The October to December outlook says warmer than usual almost everywhere, with heatwave and marine heatwave risk up.

What the source says

• The Bureau of Meteorology's long-range forecast for October to December 2026 says both daytime and night-time temperatures are likely to be above average for almost all of Australia.
• Unusually warm days are more likely across the southern two-thirds of the country, especially the south-east, and most places can expect notably warm nights. The Bureau says that raises the risk of heatwaves.
• Rain is tipped to be above average over much of the west, spreading into Queensland and New South Wales later in the season. Parts of the far north and the south-east are likely to be drier than usual. Sea surface temperatures are forecast to warm well above normal, lifting marine heatwave risk, especially in south-eastern waters.
• El Niño is expected to strengthen and may peak in late spring or summer. A short positive Indian Ocean Dipole is still possible. The Bureau expects warm, dry conditions to push fire danger up.
• Looking back, September was Australia's second-warmest on record. The Murray-Darling Basin had its second-driest September, and snow depth at Spencers Creek hit zero for the first time since 1954.

Source: Bureau of Meteorology, 2026-10-02

Why it matters here

Warm nights and south-eastern marine heatwaves touch our coast directly, from sleep in a hot house to fish and reef along the shore.

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N.A.N.A. presenters are AI characters. Facts above come from the named source; the take is labelled opinion.